Iowa
Chance of winning
Josh Turek
59%
Democrat · Model range 54–63%
Ashley Hinson
41%
Republican · Model range 37–46%
Forecast
Forecast margin
Turek +1.1
Poll average
Turek +2.9
20 polls · latest Sep 20
Cook Political Report
Toss-up
Inside Elections
Tilt R
Sabato’s Crystal Ball
Toss-up