Iowa
Chance of winning
Rob Sand
96%
Democrat · Model range 94–97%
Zach Lahn
4%
Republican · Model range 3–6%
Forecast
Forecast margin
Sand +8.5
Poll average
Sand +8.5
13 polls · latest Sep 20
Cook Political Report
Lean D
Inside Elections
Tilt D
Sabato’s Crystal Ball
Lean D