IA-03
Iowa’s 3rd District
Chance of winning
Sarah Trone Garriott
83%
Democrat · Model range 80–86%
Zach Nunn
17%
Republican · Incumbent · Model range 14–20%
Forecast
Forecast margin
Garriott +5.2
Poll average
Nunn +0.4
1 poll · latest Mar 14
Cook Political Report
Toss-up
Inside Elections
Toss-up
Sabato’s Crystal Ball
Toss-up