Senate

Michigan

Senate · Democratic-held · Open seat

Chance of winning

Abdul El-Sayed
83%
Democrat · Model range 80–86%
Mike Rogers
17%
Republican · Model range 14–20%

Forecast

Forecast margin
El-Sayed +4.2
Poll average
El-Sayed +4.6
34 polls · latest Sep 23
Cook Political Report
Toss-up
Inside Elections
Toss-up
Sabato’s Crystal Ball
Lean D

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