Senate

Arkansas

Senate · Republican-held

Chance of winning

Hallie Shoffner
3%
Democrat · Model range 1–3%
Tom Cotton
97%
Republican · Incumbent · Model range 97–99%

Forecast

Forecast margin
Cotton +17.2
Poll average
Cotton +7.5
4 polls · latest Aug 18
Cook Political Report
Solid R
Inside Elections
Solid R
Sabato’s Crystal Ball
Solid R

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